Premier League · Monday, 19 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Final score: Tottenham 3 – 1 Coventry
The outcome rated most likely (a Tottenham win, 50%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Tottenham
VS
Coventry
Tottenham win
50%
Draw
25%
Coventry win
25%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.2
Expected shots
17 – 14
Match analysis
Tottenham holds a real edge (50% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 October at 19:25 (UK time).