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Rodez vs Montpellier prediction

Ligue 2 · Monday, 19 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Rodez 0 – 3 Montpellier

The outcome rated most likely (a Montpellier win, 38%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Rodez
VS
Montpellier
Rodez win
34%
Draw
28%
Montpellier win
38%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.4
Expected shots
11 – 15

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Rodez and Montpellier finish within a few points of each other (34% vs 38%), with the draw at 28%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 October at 18:55 (UK time).

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