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Parma vs Torino prediction

Serie A · Monday, 19 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Parma 0 – 3 Torino

The outcome rated most likely (a Torino win, 46%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Parma
VS
Torino
Parma win
26%
Draw
28%
Torino win
46%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.5
Expected shots
11 – 14

Match analysis

Torino holds a real edge (46% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 October at 18:55 (UK time).

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