Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction
Final score: Getafe 1 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
The model gave a draw only 32%. At 32%, an outcome happens about 32 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
GetafeVS
Rayo VallecanoGetafe win
38%
Draw
32%
Rayo Vallecano win
30%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.0
Expected shots
9 – 16
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Getafe and Rayo Vallecano finish within a few points of each other (38% vs 30%), with the draw at 32%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 50% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 October at 19:25 (UK time).
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