Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Sunderland
VS
Dinamo Zagreb
Sunderland win
63%
Draw
20%
Dinamo Zagreb win
17%
Expected goals
2.4 – 1.2
Expected shots
19 – 9
Match analysis
Sunderland comes out on top in most scenarios (63% win rate), but Dinamo Zagreb finds a way in 17% of simulations. Sunderland frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 48% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:05 (UK time).