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Sturm Graz vs Celje prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Sturm Graz
VS
Celje
Sturm Graz win
57%
Draw
26%
Celje win
17%
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.8
Expected shots
18 – 10

Match analysis

Sturm Graz comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but Celje finds a way in 17% of simulations. Sturm Graz frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 40% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:05 (UK time).

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