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Spain vs England prediction

Nations League · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Spain
VS
England
Spain win
51%
Draw
22%
England win
27%
Expected goals
2.2 – 1.6
Expected shots
15 – 9

Match analysis

Spain comes out on top in most scenarios (51% win rate), but England finds a way in 27% of simulations. Spain frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 41% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:56 (UK time).

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