Nations League · Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Slovenia
VS
Scotland
Slovenia win
22%
Draw
35%
Scotland win
43%
Expected goals
0.8 – 1.2
Expected shots
10 – 12
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 11:25 (UK time).