Nations League · Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Slovakia
VS
Moldova
Slovakia win
65%
Draw
24%
Moldova win
11%
Expected goals
2.0 – 0.8
Expected shots
16 – 7
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 11:26 (UK time).