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Iceland vs Estonia prediction

Nations League · Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Iceland
VS
Estonia
Iceland win
53%
Draw
28%
Estonia win
19%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.0
Expected shots
9 – 8

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 11:25 (UK time).

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