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England vs Spain prediction

Nations League · Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

England
VS
Spain
England win
37%
Draw
32%
Spain win
31%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.3
Expected shots
13 – 18

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 11:25 (UK time).

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