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Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC prediction

Champions League · Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Shakhtar Donetsk
VS
AEK Athens FC
Shakhtar Donetsk win
47%
Draw
31%
AEK Athens FC win
22%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.0
Expected shots
10 – 10

Match analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk holds a real edge (47% vs 22%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (32%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 7 October at 07:49 (UK time).

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