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AS Roma vs Real Madrid prediction

Champions League · Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

AS Roma
VS
Real Madrid
AS Roma win
51%
Draw
26%
Real Madrid win
23%
Expected goals
2.1 – 1.4
Expected shots
14 – 14

Match analysis

AS Roma comes out on top in most scenarios (52% win rate), but Real Madrid finds a way in 23% of simulations. AS Roma frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 45% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 7 October at 07:48 (UK time).

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