Champions League · Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Bodo/Glimt
VS
Borussia Dortmund
Bodo/Glimt win
38%
Draw
30%
Borussia Dortmund win
32%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.5
Expected shots
11 – 14
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund finish within a few points of each other (39% vs 32%), with the draw at 30%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 7 October at 07:49 (UK time).