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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe prediction

Champions League · Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Aston Villa
VS
Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa win
38%
Draw
31%
Fenerbahçe win
31%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.4
Expected shots
19 – 11

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Aston Villa and Fenerbahçe finish within a few points of each other (38% vs 31%), with the draw at 31%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 7 October at 07:48 (UK time).

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