Nations League · Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Serbia
VS
Greece
Serbia win
37%
Draw
32%
Greece win
31%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.2
Expected shots
10 – 14
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 09:23 (UK time).