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Netherlands vs Germany prediction

Nations League · Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Netherlands
VS
Germany
Netherlands win
46%
Draw
30%
Germany win
24%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.2
Expected shots
10 – 19

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 08:54 (UK time).

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