Nations League · Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Austria
VS
Israel
Austria win
50%
Draw
27%
Israel win
23%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.3
Expected shots
8 – 16
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 08:55 (UK time).