Nations League · Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Norway
VS
Denmark
Norway win
18%
Draw
23%
Denmark win
59%
Expected goals
1.4 – 2.4
Expected shots
9 – 22
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 08:55 (UK time).