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SAG Cestas vs Bayonne prediction

Coupe de France · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)

SAG Cestas
VS
Bayonne
SAG Cestas win
46%
Draw
31%
Bayonne win
23%
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.8
Expected shots
17 – 15

Match analysis

SAG Cestas holds a real edge (46% vs 23%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 50% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:55 (UK time).

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