Ligue 2 · Friday, 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Final score: Rodez 3 – 4 Nancy
The model gave a Nancy win only 16%. At 16%, an outcome happens about 16 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Rodez
VS
Nancy
Rodez win
52%
Draw
32%
Nancy win
16%
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.8
Expected shots
15 – 14
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 September at 18:54 (UK time).