Bundesliga · Friday, 18 September 2026 at 19:30 (UK time)
Final score: Bayern München 7 – 0 Union Berlin
The outcome rated most likely (a Bayern München win, 88%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Bayern München
VS
Union Berlin
Bayern München win
88%
Draw
10%
Union Berlin win
2%
Expected goals
3.3 – 0.6
Expected shots
25 – 14
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 September at 19:23 (UK time).