Ligue 2 · Friday, 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Final score: PAU 2 – 0 Dunkerque
The outcome rated most likely (a PAU win, 44%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
PAU
VS
Dunkerque
PAU win
44%
Draw
35%
Dunkerque win
21%
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.8
Expected shots
12 – 12
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 September at 18:53 (UK time).