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Monza vs Sassuolo prediction

Serie A · Friday, 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Monza 2 – 1 Sassuolo

The outcome rated most likely (a Monza win, 41%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Monza
VS
Sassuolo
Monza win
41%
Draw
27%
Sassuolo win
32%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.7
Expected shots
18 – 14

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 September at 18:54 (UK time).

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