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Monaco vs Lens prediction

Ligue 1 · Friday, 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Monaco 2 – 1 Lens

The model gave a Monaco win only 27%. At 27%, an outcome happens about 27 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Monaco
VS
Lens
Monaco win
27%
Draw
29%
Lens win
44%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.8
Expected shots
11 – 18

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 September at 18:54 (UK time).

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