Conference League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Riga
VS
FK Jablonec
Riga win
28%
Draw
29%
FK Jablonec win
43%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.4
Expected shots
11 – 18
Match analysis
FK Jablonec holds a real edge (43% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:05 (UK time).