Europa League · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 15:30 (UK time)
Rennes
VS
Olympiakos Piraeus
Rennes win
45%
Draw
26%
Olympiakos Piraeus win
29%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.3
Expected shots
12 – 18
Match analysis
Rennes holds a real edge (45% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 05:34 (UK time).