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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction

Champions League · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

RB Leipzig
VS
Manchester City
RB Leipzig win
46%
Draw
22%
Manchester City win
32%
Expected goals
2.1 – 1.7
Expected shots
7 – 25

Match analysis

RB Leipzig holds a real edge (46% vs 32%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (22%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 02:04 (UK time).

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