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Lens vs Como prediction

Champions League · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Lens
VS
Como
Lens win
26%
Draw
27%
Como win
47%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.6
Expected shots
14 – 13

Match analysis

Como holds a real edge (47% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (27%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 02:03 (UK time).

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