Champions League · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Fenerbahçe
VS
Liverpool
Fenerbahçe win
29%
Draw
24%
Liverpool win
47%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.9
Expected shots
8 – 25
Match analysis
Liverpool holds a real edge (47% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (24%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 02:03 (UK time).