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PAU vs Nantes prediction

Ligue 2 · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)

Final score: PAU 0 – 2 Nantes

The model gave a Nantes win only 16%. At 16%, an outcome happens about 16 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

PAU
VS
Nantes
PAU win
62%
Draw
22%
Nantes win
16%
Expected goals
2.0 – 0.9
Expected shots
12 – 14

Match analysis

PAU comes out on top in most scenarios (62% win rate), but Nantes finds a way in 16% of simulations. PAU frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 45% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 7 November at 18:24 (UK time).

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