Coupe de France · Friday, 6 November 2026 at 23:00 (UK time)
Olympique Cayenne
VS
Etoile Matoury
Olympique Cayenne win
45%
Draw
26%
Etoile Matoury win
29%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.3
Expected shots
17 – 18
Match analysis
Olympique Cayenne holds a real edge (45% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 November at 09:50 (UK time).