Serie A · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Parma
VS
Bologna
Parma win
13%
Draw
20%
Bologna win
67%
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.2
Expected shots
10 – 17
Match analysis
Bologna dominates this matchup: 67% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 13% for Parma. Bologna frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 50% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 31 October at 00:22 (UK time).