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Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction

Ligue 1 · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Paris Saint Germain
VS
Estac Troyes
Paris Saint Germain win
85%
Draw
10%
Estac Troyes win
5%
Expected goals
3.4 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 6

Match analysis

Paris Saint Germain dominates this matchup: 85% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 5% for Estac Troyes. Paris Saint Germain frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 67% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 31 October at 00:23 (UK time).

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