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Paris FC vs Strasbourg prediction

Ligue 1 · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Final score: Paris FC 2 – 1 Strasbourg

The outcome rated most likely (a Paris FC win, 48%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Paris FC
VS
Strasbourg
Paris FC win
48%
Draw
28%
Strasbourg win
24%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.3
Expected shots
16 – 12

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 15:23 (UK time).

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