La Liga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)
Osasuna
VS
Athletic Club
Osasuna win
28%
Draw
24%
Athletic Club win
48%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.8
Expected shots
10 – 17
Match analysis
Athletic Club holds a real edge (48% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 31 October at 00:22 (UK time).