Premier League · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)
Final score: Nottingham Forest 0 – 1 Coventry
The model gave a Coventry win only 27%. At 27%, an outcome happens about 27 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Nottingham Forest
VS
Coventry
Nottingham Forest win
38%
Draw
35%
Coventry win
27%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.0
Expected shots
16 – 11
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 16:53 (UK time).