Coupe de France · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Montigny
VS
Pontarlier
Montigny win
42%
Draw
29%
Pontarlier win
29%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.1
Expected shots
18 – 19
Match analysis
Montigny holds a real edge (42% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (29%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:54 (UK time).