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Metz vs Saint Etienne prediction

Ligue 2 · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)

Final score: Metz 2 – 2 Saint Etienne

The model gave a draw only 27%. At 27%, an outcome happens about 27 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Metz
VS
Saint Etienne
Metz win
51%
Draw
27%
Saint Etienne win
22%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.4
Expected shots
11 – 18

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 18:53 (UK time).

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