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Marseille vs Toulouse prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Marseille
VS
Toulouse
Marseille win
42%
Draw
25%
Toulouse win
33%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.5
Expected shots
16 – 12

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Marseille and Toulouse finish within a few points of each other (42% vs 33%), with the draw at 25%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 01:34 (UK time).

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