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Lyon vs Rennes prediction

Ligue 1 · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Lyon 4 – 0 Rennes

The outcome rated most likely (a Lyon win, 47%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Lyon
VS
Rennes
Lyon win
47%
Draw
31%
Rennes win
22%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.0
Expected shots
14 – 20

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 18:54 (UK time).

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