Ligue 1 · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)
Lyon
VS
Angers
Lyon win
76%
Draw
16%
Angers win
8%
Expected goals
2.5 – 0.7
Expected shots
21 – 8
Match analysis
Lyon dominates this matchup: 76% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 8% for Angers. Lyon frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 57% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 10:05 (UK time).