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Lecce vs Genoa prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Lecce
VS
Genoa
Lecce win
42%
Draw
28%
Genoa win
30%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.1
Expected shots
14 – 17

Match analysis

Lecce holds a real edge (41% vs 30%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 01:34 (UK time).

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