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Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction

Ligue 1 · Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Le Mans
VS
Toulouse
Le Mans win
40%
Draw
27%
Toulouse win
33%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.8
Expected shots
16 – 16

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Le Mans and Toulouse finish within a few points of each other (40% vs 33%), with the draw at 27%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 9 October at 01:19 (UK time).

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