Ligue 2 · Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Laval
VS
Clermont Foot
Laval win
48%
Draw
32%
Clermont Foot win
20%
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.9
Expected shots
21 – 9
Match analysis
Laval holds a real edge (48% vs 20%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (32%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 9 October at 01:18 (UK time).