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Guingamp vs PAU prediction

Ligue 2 · Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)

Guingamp
VS
PAU
Guingamp win
39%
Draw
33%
PAU win
28%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.1
Expected shots
14 – 17

Match analysis

Guingamp holds a real edge (40% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (33%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 45% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 9 October at 01:18 (UK time).

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