Ligue 2 · Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Grenoble
VS
Boulogne
Grenoble win
42%
Draw
39%
Boulogne win
19%
Expected goals
1.0 – 0.6
Expected shots
7 – 12
Match analysis
Grenoble holds a real edge (42% vs 19%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (39%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 54% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 9 October at 01:18 (UK time).