Serie A · Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Frosinone
VS
Sassuolo
Frosinone win
62%
Draw
24%
Sassuolo win
14%
Expected goals
2.2 – 1.1
Expected shots
22 – 14
Match analysis
Frosinone comes out on top in most scenarios (62% win rate), but Sassuolo finds a way in 14% of simulations. Frosinone frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 53% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 9 October at 01:19 (UK time).