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Latvia vs Armenia prediction

Nations League · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Latvia
VS
Armenia
Latvia win
42%
Draw
34%
Armenia win
24%
Expected goals
1.1 – 0.7
Expected shots
11 – 17

Match analysis

Latvia holds a real edge (42% vs 24%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (34%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 53% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:55 (UK time).

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