Serie A · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Juventus
VS
Napoli
Juventus win
38%
Draw
25%
Napoli win
37%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.6
Expected shots
12 – 16
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Juventus and Napoli finish within a few points of each other (38% vs 37%), with the draw at 25%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 01:34 (UK time).